I’m not really a gambling man. I’ll go to Las Vegas, throw down small-time money on sports futures, sometimes randomly, sometimes not so randomly (thank you New Orleans Saints for winning the Super Bowl — not so random; let’s go Cam Newton and the Auburn Tigers! — sorta random). I’ll also frivolously play roulette, hoping to recapture the magic that a run with ‘Red 23′ (the Michael Jordan number, clearly) once brought me … never have. And oh yea, I’ll play poker (usually Texas Hold’em) like any other red or blue blooded American, but haven’t in a long time.
Gambling is an okay form of entertainment. And if you don’t see it that way and don’t stay within your personal financial limits (aka, your entertainment budget) you’re going to be in a whole lot of trouble. Now here are some sports odds involving the NBA and Washington Wizards via Bodog.com … (how about that for a seamless transition?)
The Larry O’Brien Trophy.
The Miami Heat have 17/10 odds to win the NBA Championship. The LA Lakers follow with 5/2 odds and the Boston Celtics come in third with 17/2 odds. It drops off after that with the Orlando Magic at 13/1 and the OKC Thunder at 14/1.
The Wizards fall below 17 teams with 100/1 odds to win the title, which is the same odds held by the Charlotte Bobcats, Memphis Grizzlies and New Jersey Nets. Worse odds than the Wizards: the Pistons, Clippers, Warriors, Pacers, 76ers, Kings, Cavaliers, Timberwolves and Raptors — Cleveland, Minnesota and Toronto all having 200/1 odds to win the 2011 NBA Championship. The T’Wolves must feel especially special, if you will, because they didn’t lose a superstar, yet are expected to be as crappy as the Cavs and Raps.
The Eastern Conference.
The Wizards, it seems, are the biggest enigma in terms of predicting their success, or lack thereof, in 2010-11. Recently, the tallied votes of six league scouts determined that the Wiz would be tied with the 76ers as the eight best team in the East. I’ve been telling people that six conference playoff spots are locks — Miami, Boston, Orlando, Atlanta, Chicago and Milwaukee — and that the last two spots are up for grabs for just about any other East team … yes, even you New Jersey, Cleveland and Toronto. Well, I don’t know about Toronto.
The odds agree with this for the most part. To win the East: Miami – 2/3; Boston – 9/2; Orlando – 11/2; Chicago – 9/1; Atlanta – 25/1; and Milwaukee – 25/1.
The Knicks’ odds are ranked seventh at 30/1, and then come the Bobcats, Nets and Wizards at 50/1. I really don’t think the Knicks are that much better than the field below them — Amar’e Stoudemire and Timofey Mozgov certainly don’t seem more intimidating at defense/rebounding than Andray Blatche and JaVale McGee (I think … I’m certainly boosting stock in the futures of the Wizards’ front line of inconsistency).
The Southeast Division.
The Wizards are in the most stacked division in the league with Miami, Orlando, Atlanta and Charlotte — all playoff teams last year. Well, the Southwest Division isn’t too shabby — Dallas, San Antonio, Houston, New Orleans and Memphis. Neither is the Northwest — Oklahoma City, Portland, Denver, Utah … but dragged down by Minnesota.
Miami is at 1/3 odds to win the Southeast, followed by Orlando (7/2), Atlanta (12/1), Washington (20/1), and Charlotte (30/1). Curiously enough, the Bobcats have worse odds than Minnesota (22/1) and Toronto (25/1) have to win their respective divisions. Not curiously enough … the presence of the Miami Heat. But good news for Cleveland fans, they have 14/1 odds to win the Central Division — sure, the worst odds in the division, but odds nonetheless. The Memphis Grizzlies at 12/1 to win the Southwest have the best odds to win their division amongst predicted divisional bottom-dwellers.
So the Wizards’ win total is set at 32.5 by Bodog. I’ve predicted 34 wins, but wouldn’t touch that over/under either way. I have no idea in what direction this team will go … but having no expectations is a good thing in my opinion.
Here are some over/unders provided for specific Wizards…
- Gilbert Arenas – average points: 21.5
- John Wall – average points: 15.3; average assists: 7.0
- Andray Blatche – average points: 15.7; average rebounds: 7.3
I don’t think too many people have confidence in Andray achieving the over on rebounds. Along that same sentiment, I don’t think it would be completely bizarre (yet entirely silly) to say that the success of the team could be contingent on whether Blatche does or not.
Rookie of the Year.
Right now Blake Griffin has slightly better odds to win ROY over John Wall — 7/5 to 3/2 respectively. After that it drops off to DeMarcus Cousins (7/1), Evan Turner (15/2), Wesley Johnson (11/1), Derrick Favors (12/1), Greg Monroe (15/1), Jordan Crawford (20/1), and for good measure, I suppose, Cole Aldrich (30/1) — BTW, this is the full list of ROY odds provided.
NOTE: All odds courtesy of Bodog.com. This post is NOT an advertisement for Bodog … the odds were merely sent to me via a PR person, I thought they were interesting, so I shared via a post.