TAI Predicts Wizards Wins, Losses and Playoffs (or Not) | Wizards Blog Truth About It.net

TAI Predicts Wizards Wins, Losses and Playoffs (or Not)

Updated: October 18, 2013

Prognosticators, crystal balls, wizards wands, and aficionados of basketball point spreads… the NBA season is almost here. As the TAI crew gears up for another run—with player previews, an impending site redesign (perhaps), and et cetera—the 10 of us have gathered, somewhat magically, to predict Wizards wins, losses, and conference finishes.

Collectively, 60 percent of us are predicting Washington’s pro basketball team to make the playoffs. Average win total prediction: 39.3.

Keep reading for individual feelings, thoughts, and more feelings. (Also/BTW… while you are at it, check out ESPN.com’s Wizards season preview, including the knowledge-dropping of Rashad Mobley, John Converse Townsend, and myself on ESPN’s 5-on-5.)





Kyle Weidie

Record: 41-41

Result: 7th in the East

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

So here we go again…

My eyes are weary with hope. The comfort zone of bitching and complaining is like a plate of mom’s spaghetti, garlic bread, a glass of milk, and a rainy day with a view from a house with large glass windows. We cast our stones and they boomerang back to us. We invest our fandom while oblivious to the Ponzi scheme. Something’s gotta give… The Wizards, by basketball gawds, will make the playoffs this season. They just gotta.

But getting to the place that John Wall calls the “promised land”—merely the first round of the NBA playoffs and not a Matt Damon film about fracking—won’t be easy. The Wizards will appear to suck at times. They will undoubtedly frustrate. The early slate will not be kind. But they will come together. Unprofessionalism in the locker room has been the crux of Ernie Grunfeld’s tenure, and now that appears to be a distant memory, a circumstance on the other side of the pendulum that we take for granted. Remember: this was the team that still managed to stay together, to like each other—and their once-tearful coach—through an 0-12 start and 5-28 beginnings.

These Wizards will pull together, perhaps by the skin of their teeth, but they will make it. Next stop: dissatisfaction with a string of first-round exits.

Rashad Mobley

Record: 35-47

Result: 9th in the East

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

The backcourt of Wall and Beal will be good enough to make Mark Jackson revisit the notion that Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson are better. Martell Webster and Al Harrington will surely win games with their ability to score and score often. But with Okafor out indefinitely, Nene seemingly physically and mentally hampered, and Seraphin and Jan being who we thought they were, the Wizards’ could be putrid in the post—unless, of course, Ernie Grunfeld can work some [Wizardly] magic.

John Converse Townsend

Record: 39-43

Result: 9th in the East

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

John Wall and Bradley Beal will produce hits like the basketball version of DJ Jazzy Jeff & The Fresh Prince.

Problem: Other stars are sure to be up to no good—they’ll cause a lot of trouble in the ‘Zards neighborhood. The good guys will be in the chase for seed 7 or 8, but the win-streak in spring will be too little, too late.

“Yo, Wiz, smell ya later!” —8 other teams in the East

Adam McGinnis

Record: 35-47

Result: 10th in the East

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

The Beal and Wall backcourt has a chance to be special, but it is not enough to overcome the constant shortcomings of this front office. Ted Leonsis has always resisted the glaring need to clean house with this organization. Another lottery finish finally forces his hand.

Sean Fagan

Record: 42-40

Result: 7th seed in the playoffs

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

The East is weaker at the lower half this year so the Wizards will be able to sneak into the playoffs and buy GM Ernie Grunfeld another year of kicking around the DMV. Playoff bound or not, this year will be more interesting for the development of the Wizards’ young players (Beal, Porter, Jr.) and whether they can salvage anything out of the careers of their disappointing frontcourt (Booker, Vesely, Singleton).

Lukas Kuba

Record: 43-39

Result: 6th seed in the playoffs

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

This group will go as far as their backcourt of John Wall and Brad Beal can carry them this season. They have a pretty good mix of young players and experienced vets, a potential x-factor in Al Harrington, and a deeper roster than last year, so the Wizards should absolutely be one of the favorites to nab one of three playoff spots up for grabs at the bottom of the Eastern Conference. I’m predicting a great season out of Wall, with the first All-Star berth of his career and the Wizards’ first playoff appearance since 2008.

Conor Dirks

Record: 43-39

Result: 7th seed in the playoffs

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

I’m not sure there’s a more complementary backcourt pairing in the NBA than Wall and Beal, and because of each other’s presence they will both break out this year. This projection is not made in contemplation of frontcourt injuries (which I won’t try to predict), but I believe Al Harrington will be more valuable than expected in the event Nene misses extended time.

Adam Rubin

Record: 36-46

Result: 10th in the East

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

GM Ernie Grunfeld went all-in with a roster that was 24-25 with John Wall last year. The one major difference between this year and that magical sub .500 run is that Jan Vesely and Kevin Seraphin will be required to play major roles. Even accounting for significant leaps from John Wall and Bradley Beal, if Nene’s chronic plantar fasciitis flares up again, and it will, the Wizards will more closely resemble last year’s 29-win team than the playoff team many prognosticators are predicting them to be.

Dan Diamond

Record: 39-43

Result: 8th seed in the playoffs

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

What we don’t know: Whether John Wall and Nene can play a full season at an All-Star level, how much Okafor’s absence will hurt the interior D, and if Otto Porter can make an immediate contribution. What we do know: Guards with Bradley Beal’s tangibles tend to take a big leap in year 2, and the Wizards have never gone this long without winning at least 30 games in a season.

Arish Narayen

Record: 40-42

Result: 8th seed in the playoffs

Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey:

If the Wizards are to secure a playoff spot, Emeka Okafor’s post D and rebounding will be needed (or replaced). How much the team gets out of Okafor, Nene, and the Booker/Seraphin/Vesely trio this season remains to be seen, particularly given the injury to Okafor and lingering ailments for Nene. Can John Wall, Bradley Beal, and Nene provide enough scoring to offset the loss of Okafor for a prolonged period of time? I don’t know. But if the answer to that question is yes, I see a low tier playoff team.

Actual Deep Thoughts by Jack Handey.

(YouTube bootleg style)

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Kyle Weidie
Founder / Editor / Reporter / Writer at TAI
Kyle founded TAI in 2007 and has been weaving in and out the world of Wizards ever since, ducking WittmanFaces, jumping over G-Wiz, and avoiding stints on the DNP-Conditioning list. He has covered the Washington pro basketball team as a member of the media since 2009. Kyle currently lives in Brooklyn, NY with his wife, loves basketball, and has no pets.