John Wall and the Wizards: What are the Odds? | Truth About It.net

John Wall and the Wizards: What are the Odds?

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Updated: April 20, 2014

[Odds? We don't need no stinkin' odds. -- via @recordsANDradio]

[Odds? We don't need no stinkin' odds. -- via @recordsANDradio]

As even John Wall has noticed, nobody is giving Washington much of a chance in its first-round matchup with Chicago. The national media is so anti-Wizards that 18 out of 19 ESPN experts predicted a Chicago victory. That seems a bit too unanimous, doesn’t it?

So what is fueling this negative group-think? Conventional wisdom says that Chicago’s relentless, soul-crushing defense will suffocate Washington’s predictable offense.

But let’s take a closer look at this so-called wisdom.

Chicago’s defense is designed to take away the pick-and-roll and force opponents into low percentage long 2-pointers. Wait a minute … long 2-point jumpers are Randy Wittman’s shot-du-jour. You mean to tell me that Tom Thibodeau is going to allow—nay, encourage—the Wizards to take all the long 2-pointers they want? Big mistake, Thibs. Big mistake.

Conventional wisdom also says that Chicago has been one of the hottest teams in 2014, sporting a stellar 36-16 record since January 1. So, what are you getting at? A team that enters the playoffs with a 0.692 winning percentage since the new year is supposed to walk all over a team that went 30-24 over the same stretch and sputtered to the finish line (save for a few late victories over disinterested foes)?

Where have I heard that kind of talk before? Oh yeah, 2005—the last time these two teams squared off as 4/5 seeds. Back then the Bulls entered the playoffs with an eerily similar 38-17 record since January 1, 2005, while the Wizards were an identical 30-24 in the new year. We all remember how that went.

So before you pencil in Chicago vs. Indiana in your second-round playoff bracket, why not take a moment and let the Wizards and Bulls play a game or two. You might find that conventional wisdom—as is often the case—is wrong.

—Adam Rubin (@LedellsPlace)

 


FWIW: Series Odds

(via @BovadaLV email blast)

Washington Wizards vs. Chicago Bulls
Washington Wizards (Series Prices) +170 (17/10)
Chicago Bulls (Series Prices) -200 (1/2)

Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizards – Total Games in Series
4 games – 6/1
5 games – 5/2
6 games – 2/1
7 games – 2/1

Average First Round Points Per Game – Jimmy Butler
Over/Under 14

Average First Round Points Per Game – Joakim Noah
Over/Under 13½

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Joakim Noah
Over/Under 11½

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Joakim Noah
Over/Under 6.5

Average First Round Points Per Game – Taj Gibson
Over/Under 13

Average First Round Points Per Game – Carlos Boozer
Over/Under 12½

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Carlos Boozer
Over/Under 8

Average First Round Points Per Game – Mike Dunleavy
Over/Under 12

Average First Round Points Per Game – John Wall
Over/Under 20½

Average First Round Assists Per Game – John Wall
Over/Under 8

Average First Round Points Per Game – Bradley Beal
Over/Under 16½

Average First Round Points Per Game – Marcin Gortat
Over/Under 13

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Marcin Gortat
Over/Under 9