John Wall and the Wizards: What are the Odds? | Wizards Blog Truth About It.net

John Wall and the Wizards: What are the Odds?

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Updated: April 20, 2014

[Odds? We don't need no stinkin' odds. -- via @recordsANDradio]

[Odds? We don’t need no stinkin’ odds. — via @recordsANDradio]

As even John Wall has noticed, nobody is giving Washington much of a chance in its first-round matchup with Chicago. The national media is so anti-Wizards that 18 out of 19 ESPN experts predicted a Chicago victory. That seems a bit too unanimous, doesn’t it?

So what is fueling this negative group-think? Conventional wisdom says that Chicago’s relentless, soul-crushing defense will suffocate Washington’s predictable offense.

But let’s take a closer look at this so-called wisdom.

Chicago’s defense is designed to take away the pick-and-roll and force opponents into low percentage long 2-pointers. Wait a minute … long 2-point jumpers are Randy Wittman’s shot-du-jour. You mean to tell me that Tom Thibodeau is going to allow—nay, encourage—the Wizards to take all the long 2-pointers they want? Big mistake, Thibs. Big mistake.

Conventional wisdom also says that Chicago has been one of the hottest teams in 2014, sporting a stellar 36-16 record since January 1. So, what are you getting at? A team that enters the playoffs with a 0.692 winning percentage since the new year is supposed to walk all over a team that went 30-24 over the same stretch and sputtered to the finish line (save for a few late victories over disinterested foes)?

Where have I heard that kind of talk before? Oh yeah, 2005—the last time these two teams squared off as 4/5 seeds. Back then the Bulls entered the playoffs with an eerily similar 38-17 record since January 1, 2005, while the Wizards were an identical 30-24 in the new year. We all remember how that went.

So before you pencil in Chicago vs. Indiana in your second-round playoff bracket, why not take a moment and let the Wizards and Bulls play a game or two. You might find that conventional wisdom—as is often the case—is wrong.

—Adam Rubin (@LedellsPlace)

 


FWIW: Series Odds

(via @BovadaLV email blast)

Washington Wizards vs. Chicago Bulls
Washington Wizards (Series Prices) +170 (17/10)
Chicago Bulls (Series Prices) -200 (1/2)

Chicago Bulls vs. Washington Wizards – Total Games in Series
4 games – 6/1
5 games – 5/2
6 games – 2/1
7 games – 2/1

Average First Round Points Per Game – Jimmy Butler
Over/Under 14

Average First Round Points Per Game – Joakim Noah
Over/Under 13½

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Joakim Noah
Over/Under 11½

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Joakim Noah
Over/Under 6.5

Average First Round Points Per Game – Taj Gibson
Over/Under 13

Average First Round Points Per Game – Carlos Boozer
Over/Under 12½

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Carlos Boozer
Over/Under 8

Average First Round Points Per Game – Mike Dunleavy
Over/Under 12

Average First Round Points Per Game – John Wall
Over/Under 20½

Average First Round Assists Per Game – John Wall
Over/Under 8

Average First Round Points Per Game – Bradley Beal
Over/Under 16½

Average First Round Points Per Game – Marcin Gortat
Over/Under 13

Average First Round Rebounds Per Game – Marcin Gortat
Over/Under 9


 

Adam Rubin on sabtwitterAdam Rubin on sabemail
Adam Rubin
Reporter / Writer at TAI
Adam grew up in the D.C. area and has been a Washington Bullets fan for over 25 years. He will not refer to the franchise as anything other than the Bullets unless required to do so by Truth About It editorial standards. Adam spent many nights at the Capital Centre in the ‘90s where he witnessed such things as Michael Jordan’s “LaBradford Smith game,” the inexcusable under-usage of Gheorghe Muresan’s unstoppable post moves, and the basketball stylings of Ledell Eackles.