TAI’s 2015-16 NBA Season and Washington Wizards Predictions | Wizards Blog Truth About It.net

TAI’s 2015-16 NBA Season and Washington Wizards Predictions

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Updated: October 28, 2015

The 2015-16 NBA season is upon us and 12 various staffers and contributors to Truth About It.net are here to make predictions. The panel: Bartosz Bielecki (@bart__92), Conor Dirks (@ConorDDirks), Sean Fagan (@McCarrick), Bryan Frantz (@BFrantz202), Lukas Kuba (@Luke_Mellow), Adam McGinnis (@AdamMcGinnis), Rashad Mobley (@Rashad20), Arish Narayen (@arish_narayen), Adam Rubin (@LedellsPlace), Chris Thompson (@MadBastardsAll), John Converse Townsend (@JohnCTownsend), and yours truly, Kyle Weidie (@Truth_About_It). Let’s get into it…

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In early October, Bovada LV released estimated win totals (i.e., the Over/Under betting line) for all NBA teams. Washington’s number was set at 45.5, tied with the Miami Heat for 12th-most in the NBA. This past Monday, updated Over/Under numbers were released. The Wizards stayed at 45.5, but for betting reasons Miami was bumped up to 46.6, leaving the Wizards alone as the predicted 13th-best team in pro basketball, by Las Vegas.

Eleven out of 12 TAI staffers and contributors would bet their farm on the over. Collectively, on average, we think the Wizards will achieve 50.3 wins to 31.67 losses—let’s just say a clean 50-32, which would be the sixth 50-win season in franchise history and the first one since 1978-79, the year after the Wizards won the ’78 title (the Bullets won just 44 games the season they took home the Larry O’Brien).

Individually, here’s where TAIers stand:

  1. Bartosz Bielecki – Over, 52
  2. Conor Dirks – Over, 49
  3. Sean Fagan – Over, 53
  4. Bryan Frantz – Over, 48
  5. Lukas Kuba – Over, 49
  6. Adam McGinnis – Over, 55
  7. Rashad Mobley – Over, 48
  8. Arish Narayen – Over, 47
  9. Adam Rubin – Over, 48
  10. Chris Thompson – Under, 45
  11. John Converse Townsend – Over, 50
  12. Kyle Weidie – Over, 50

Over or Under?

John Wall averaging 10 assists per game (Wall averaged 10.0 assists per game in 2014-15).

58% (7 of 12) take the over.

Bradley Beal averaging 18 points per game (Beal averaged 15.3 points per game in 2014-15).

66% (8 of 12) take the over.

Otto Porter averaging 10.5 points per game (Porter averaged 6.0 points per game in 2014-15).

92% (11 of 12) take the over.


The East: Playoffs

Eleven out of 12 surveyed picked the Cavaliers to finish first in the Eastern Conference (one person picked the Bulls to take the top seed). Overall, voters pegged 10 different East teams to make the playoffs, with Cleveland, Chicago, Washington, Atlanta, and Toronto being unanimous choices; no one picked New York, Brooklyn, Detroit, Charlotte, or Philadelphia to make the playoffs.

Collectively, here is TAI’s Eastern Conference prediction:

  1. Cleveland
  2. Chicago
  3. Washington
  4. Atlanta
  5. Miami
  6. Toronto
  7. Indiana
  8. Milwaukee

The West: Playoffs

Nine out of 12 surveyed picked the Warriors to finish first in the Western Conference (two picked the Spurs as top seed, one picked Oklahoma City). Voters pegged 12 different teams to be in the West playoff conversation—the Warriors, Rockets, Clippers, Spurs, Thunder, and Grizzlies were unanimous, and no one picked Portland, Denver, or the Los Angeles Lakers to crack the top 8.

Collectively, TAI’s Western Conference prediction:

  1. Golden State
  2. San Antonio (tied with OKC)
  3. Oklahoma City (tied with SAS)
  4. Houston
  5. Los Angeles Clippers
  6. Memphis
  7. New Orleans
  8. Utah

The NBA Finals?

100 percent of those polled picked the Cavaliers to win the Eastern Conference Finals. In the West, the Thunder were taken five times, the Warriors and Spurs twice each, and the Clippers once.

NBA Champion Predictions: Thunder (5), Cavs (3), Warriors (2), Spurs (2).

In full:

  1. Warriors over Cavs — Bielecki
  2. Warriors over Cavs — Dirks
  3. Thunder over Cavs — Fagan
  4. Spurs over Cavs — Frantz
  5. Thunder over Cavs — Kuba
  6. Cavs over Spurs — McGinnis
  7. Thunder over Cavs — Mobley
  8. Spurs over Cavs — Narayen
  9. Thunder over Cavs — Rubin
  10. Cavs over Thunder — Thompson
  11. Thunder over Cavs — Townsend
  12. Cavs over Clippers — Weidie

The Worst.

50 percent believe the 76ers will be the worst NBA team in 2015-16, and that’s probably not enough.

  • 76ers — Bielecki
  • 76ers — Dirks
  • Kings — Fagan
  • Hornets — Frantz
  • Blazers — Kuba
  • 76ers — McGinnis
  • Lakers — Mobley
  • 76ers — Narayen
  • 76ers — Rubin
  • Timberwolves — Thompson
  • 76ers — Townsend
  • Blazers — Weidie

Theme Song for this year’s Washington Wizards.

“Run,” by Awolnation — Bielecki

“I Might be Wrong,” by Radiohead — Dirks

“Waiting Room,” by Fugazi — Fagan … Because for the Wizards, it’s all about next summer.

“They Don’t Want,” by Electric Wire Hustle — Franz … Two reasons: 1. I feel like national media isn’t giving the Wizards enough attention this year even though they could easily contend for the ECF. 2. This song is stuck in my head right now.

“Almost There,” from The Princess and the Frog — Kuba

“Finally Moving,” by Pretty Lights — McGinnis

“This is It,” by Kenny Loggins — Mobley

“Something About Us,” by Daft Punk — Narayen

“Come to My Window,” by Melissa Etheridge ft. KD — Rubin

“Inertia Creeps,” by Massive Attack — Thompson

“Fresh Produce,” by Pell — Townsend … “Know my future televised, get them cameras focused in.”

“I Walk the Line,” by Johnny Cash — Weidie … And so here begins Washington’s true love affair with the 3-point line. Will they get busy  livin’, or will they get busy dyin’? At least, they are a-tryin’ … and with the talents of one Johnny Wall, some teammates, if they walk the line successfully, are going to earn themselves a nice bounty of cash.


If the 2015-16 Wizards were a TV show or movie, they would be…

“Gone in 60 Seconds” … Nobody will ever say it’s the best movie in the world, but it’s still a very good, fun-to-watch, fast-paced movie with a young superstar-to-be (Angelina Jolie) in it. Just like the 2015-16 Wizards, with John Wall as Jolie. — Bielecki

“Attack the Block” — Dirks

“Suicide Squad” … Because I have a sneaking suspicion that many of those who start the year on the team will not be there at year’s end. — Fagan

“Breaking Bad” … Right around the end of the fourth season/start of the fifth season. They dicked around in the lowest levels of their industry for a while, now they’ve got the pieces in place (players/connections) to go big time. It’s not quite time for the big move (2016 offseason/second half of season 5), but it’s getting near that shit-or-get-off-the-pot moment. It’s starting to see if the investments were worth it and see if it’ll all pay off. — Frantz

“Django Unchained” — Kuba

“Mad Max: Fury Road” — McGinnis

“The Empire Strikes Back” … The Wizards represent the Rebel Forces. There will be small victories along the way but ultimately the Wizards will fall short to the evil LeBron-led Empire. — Mobley

“The Walking Dead” — Narayen

“Sports Night” — Rubin

“The Price is Right” — Thompson

“Deadwood” … Perhaps the best (groundbreaking, cancelled-too-soon) TV show that hardly anyone watched. — Townsend

“Quantum Leap” … Get this: some guy, who can only been seen by young children and animals, uses a handheld computer from the late-’80s/early-’90s containing oodles of historical “data” to help Scott Bakula navigate space and time. So can Randy Wittman’s new space-and-pace offense navigate the NBA and make the leap to the next level? Stay tuned all season to find out. — Weidie

 

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Kyle Weidie
Founder / Editor / Reporter / Writer at TAI
Kyle founded TAI in 2007 and has been weaving in and out the world of Wizards ever since, ducking WittmanFaces, jumping over G-Wiz, and avoiding stints on the DNP-Conditioning list. He has covered the Washington pro basketball team as a member of the media since 2009. Kyle lives in D.C. with his wife, loves basketball, and has no pets.