TAI’s 2016-17 Washington Wizards and NBA Playoffs Predictions | Wizards Blog Truth About It.net

TAI’s 2016-17 Washington Wizards and NBA Playoffs Predictions

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Updated: October 27, 2016

Back at it again!! — the TAI crew is present to cover, pixelate, and marinate over the Washington Wizards, once again. As is custom, before the season opener in Atlanta, we must associate number with name with reputation (not really) and predict: how many wins the Wizards will achieve, if they will make the playoffs, and which teams will make the NBA’s postseason in the East and West; along with some reasons to be optimistic and/or pessimistic about this season’s campaign.

The panel of 13: Bartosz Bielecki (@bart__92), Conor Dirks (@ConorDDirks), Sean Fagan (@McCarrick), Bryan Frantz (@BFrantz202), Troy Haliburton (@TroyHalibur), Lukas Kuba (@Luke_Mellow), Adam McGinnis (@AdamMcGinnis), Rashad Mobley (@Rashad20), Adam Rubin (@LedellsPlace), Ben Standig (@BenStandig), Chris Thompson (@MadBastardsAll), John Converse Townsend (@JohnCTownsend), and yours truly, Kyle Weidie (@Truth_About_It). Let’s get into it…

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Reasons to be optimistic about the 2016-17 Wizards.

  • “The Wizards are fielding the most complementary starting lineup they’ve had in years, both with each other and with the current NBA.” —Kyle Weidie
  • “At the ripe old age of 26, John Wall is still improving. He’s a good role model for players like Oubre, Porter, and Satoransky, who are fun to watch but need to put the work in.” —Conor Dirks
  • “Bradley Beal will remain healthy.” —Sean Fagan
  • “Starting five is healthy to start the season.” —Adam Rubin
  • “The starters.” —Bartosz Bielecki
  • “Good coaching.” —Troy Haliburton
  • “Much better coaching.” —Chris Thompson
  • “Scott Brooks has a track record of turning potential into production. The Wizards have a lot of players with untapped potential (I think).” —Bryan Frantz
  • “Scott Brooks.” —Adam McGinnis
  • “Randy Wittman is … oh, who gives a shit where, he’s not in D.C.” —John Converse Townsend
  • “Wall and Beal. They gonna be special this year, I think. #StayHealthyBrad.” —Lukas Kuba
  • “Youth doesn’t always mean better, but I think it does for these Wizards. 11 of 15 players on opening night are 27 and under, a far cry from last season’s graybeard situation.” —Ben Standig
  • “Wall and Beal are healthy and hungry.” —Rashad Mobley

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Reasons to be pessimistic.

  • “Scott Brooks had KD, Russ, Harden, Reggie Jackson and Ibaka. How much of his success is due to his coaching, how much is due to personnel?” —Bryan Frantz
  • “The bench.” —Bartosz Bielecki
  • “Second unit. —Adam McGinnis
  • “Unproven depth.” —Chris Thompson
  • “Lack of depth.” —Sean Fagan
  • “The bench is deeper, but even Washington’s best incarnation probably isn’t competitive enough with the elite teams in the league. Which is a bad sign for a team with limited options moving forward absent a major trade.” —Conor Dirks
  • “If Burke and Thornton are your backcourt backups… it does not look promising.” —Lukas Kuba
  • “Lack of depth and shooting on the wing.” —Adam Rubin
  • “Perimeter shooting: Bradley Beal is the given from deep. But after him…Otto Porter was a top 10 3-point shooter post All-Star break, so that’s good. John Wall, Andrew Nicholson, Kelly Oubre, Marcus Thornton, Tomas Satoransky and Markieff Morris will take long shots, but it’s no lock any make them with regularity. The playmaking Wall feeding open shooters is only part of the equation.” —Ben Standig
  • “Health.” —Troy Haliburton
  • “If Wall or Beal get hurt, the Wizards are doomed.” —Rashad Mobley
  • “A lot of new parts and great defenses weren’t build in a day — can they even be a ‘very good’ defense?” —Kyle Weidie
  • “They’re still the Wizards.” —John Converse Townsend

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Will Washington make the playoffs?

  • 6 of 13 — Yes, but the Wizards will get knocked out in Round 1.
  • 3 of 13 — Yes, they will advance it to Round 2, where they will fall.
  • 2 of 13 — Yes, all the way to the Conference Finals, baby!
  • 2 of 13 — NOPE, lottery bound again.

Overall: 85% yes, the Wizards will be a 2017 NBA Playoff team.

Put it on the internet, forever: How many wins?

2016-17 win predictions at the front in bold, listed from fewest to most wins … and, gulp, 2015-16 predictions (in parentheses).

  • 39 — McCarrick (53)
  • 40 — McGinnis (55)
  • 41 — Mobley (48)
  • 41 — Rubin (48)
  • 43 — Kuba (49)
  • 43 — Townsend (50)
  • 44 — Dirks (49)
  • 45 — Bielecki (52)
  • 45 — Thompson (45)
  • 46 — Frantz (48)
  • 46 — Standig (n/a)
  • 48 — Weidie (50)
  • 49 — Haliburton (n/a)

Yes, this rather bullish crew last season predicted, on average, 49.7 wins for Washington (only 8.7 off the mark!), and so it only makes sense this season they are rather bearish on the outcome by predicting, on average, 43.8 wins, 5.9 fewer than least season.

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Predicting Eastern Conference Playoffs Teams

  1. Cleveland (13 votes)
  2. Boston (13)
  3. Toronto (13)
  4. Detroit (12)
  5. Indiana (12)
  6. Washington (10)
  7. Atlanta (10)
  8. Charlotte (8)

Others receiving votes: Chicago (5), Milwaukee (4), Miami (2), New York (2)

Predicting Western Conference Playoffs Teams

  1. Golden State (13 votes)
  2. San Antonio (13)
  3. L.A. Clippers (13)
  4. Portland (12)
  5. Utah (11)
  6. Houston (10)
  7. Oklahoma City (10)
  8. Memphis (7)

Others receiving votes: Dallas (6), Minnesota (6), New Orleans (3)

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Kyle Weidie
Founder / Editor / Reporter / Writer at TAI
Kyle founded TAI in 2007 and has been weaving in and out the world of Wizards ever since, ducking WittmanFaces, jumping over G-Wiz, and avoiding stints on the DNP-Conditioning list. He has covered the Washington pro basketball team as a member of the media since 2009. Kyle lives in D.C. with his wife, loves basketball, and has no pets.