Sleepy Freud of Warriors blog Golden State of Mind came up with this handy spectral pie chart for each team’s probability to land a certain pick in tonight’s lottery. The above reflects that the Wizards have the best “odds” to slip one spot and get the sixth pick, a 34.4% chance. “Great.”
But hey, at least the worst-case scenario all the pessimists keep gunning for (slipping to 8th) is that tiny gray sliver of 0.4%.
The Wizards have a 21.4% chance of landing one of the top two coveted picks (presumably John Wall or Evan Turner) — 10.3% to get No. 1; 11.1% to get No. 2.
There’s a 23.8% chance the Wiz will stand pat at five, a 12% chance of picking third and an 8.3% chance of slipping to seventh.